For those of you who may not be aware, iron ore is the second largest traded commodity in volume terms after oil. So it’s a very large market but without its own index as of now and we believe that this decision is a very major step for a very strong rise in the iron ore prices in the coming quarters and also coming years because a spot price means that the market is going to mature and that the iron ore miners will have much better negotiation power ongoing from now onwards.

So what it also means is that along with increasing iron ore prices we will also have increasing steel prices this year because iron ore is the main component for steel manufacturing and just like we are seeing 80 to 100% revision in iron ore prices we could 50 to 60% rise in steel prices in the next year or two. That will have cascading effect in terms of pricing in construction, automobiles and other steel import industries.

So overall the iron ore price increases are going to push up steel price for sure. And this is a major development for manufacturing industry worldwide and we think that their input costs could move up 10-20% depending on how much steel they use. The net beneficiaries of this entire price increase will be the iron ore miners. It is estimated that the just top three miners alone will boost their net profits by about $5 billion this year. So this is a major development in the global steel industry and iron ore miners in different countries are likely to profit as well.

So that was a major rally in sugar that we saw and what we have seen within the first three months of 2010, from January to end of March, is a severe correction in the prices. Prices are now back below US $500.00 at around US $480-490.00 and based on the chart it appears that the correction is not complete yet and that we could see the sugar prices go even below US $400.00 looking at the five-year charts and also the three-year and one-year charts.

So in that sense we think that it is better to be very cautious in the sugar stocks and sugar futures currently and the position would either be a short position still, or best would be to remain in the cash and not take any call till a stable pattern appears which could take another few weeks from now and once the price stabilizes at a certain level then that is the price at which we should enter the sugar futures or sugar stocks.

At this point looking at the chart it doesn’t give any confidence that the prices are stabilizing. The selloff has been very intense looking at the chart and the volumes have been very high in the selloff and therefore we think that right price probably to enter the sugar stocks and sugar futures for a buying or a call will be around US $400.00 which is still a good 20% down from where we are currently.

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The short term iron ire pricing contracts would be linked to the iron ore spot price, which would see iron ore prices more than double from the present $US 60 per ton top $US 130 per ton or more.

The Financial Times London reported unknown company executives as confirming the move away from annual pricing agreements. If the new system evolves, it will in fact mirror the quarterly pricing arrangement BHP won earlier this month for coking coal with customers in Japan, Europe and Korea. That saw BHP Billiton win price rises of 55% for hard coking coal, the best quality coal there is for the steel industry.

The FT said in its report that “The miners, including Vale of Brazil and UK-based BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto and steelmakers such as Nippon Steel, JFE, Sumitomo Metals and Kobe still need to resolve significant obstacles to reach a final agreement”.

The FT said the deal was just with the Japanese mills. Posco, the giant South Korean steel group, plus Arcelor Mittal, the world’s biggest steel maker and other mills in Europe, have not yet agreed to the new pricing structure, because obviously, it will put tremendous pressure on their margins.

Under the current iron ore contract system, the first price agreed between a miner and a steelmaker became a benchmark followed by the rest of the industry for a year. That’s why the 33% cut agreed to by the Japanese mills and the big iron ore companies last year became the industry benchmark, even though China had insisted on a 45% cut. That demand went unanswered and the Chinese and the big iron ore groups went to a mixed system of unofficial pricing based on spot prices and the Japanese price cut.

A surge in the iron ore spot price soon saw BHP and Rio shift more and more ore sales onto that market, so much so that 50% or more of their sales were being made at spot market pricing. Surging demand for steel and iron ore from China, and then Japan and Korea later in 2009 saw prices continue to rise.

A tax on iron ore exports in India saw prices jump sharply, to around $US130 a tonne and more (including freight from Australia).

Current spot prices are around $US 143.80 per to, which when adjusted for the cost of freight, are more than double the $US60 per ton 2009-10 year contract price in Japan which ends on March 31.

So whichever way we see it, iron ore prices are expected to increase about 80-100% in theyear 2010-11.

European steelmakers declined to comment on Monday about their iron ore price negotiations but market talk is that they are looking at the end of the decades-old annual benchmark system.

The Financial Times reported earlier that Japanese steelmakers had reached a tentative deal with iron ore miners to adopt short-term contracts linked to the spot market, and talk is that the deal will set a precedent.

This bill will extend coverage to 32 million uninsured Americans and ban such insurance company practices as denying coverage to people with medical problems.

The first changes under the overhaul take effect by the end of September. Other changes would not kick in until 2014. By then, most Americans will for the first time be required to carry health insurance — through an employer, through a government program or by buying it for themselves. Those who refuse will face penalties from the IRS.

Tax credits to help pay for premiums also will start flowing to middle-class working families with incomes up to $88,000 a year, and Medicaid will be expanded to cover more low-income people.

The bill is expected to cut the US federal budget deficits by about $143 billion over a decade.

The Company has run-of-mines contracts for two iron ore mines situated at Nuagaon and Maharajpur in state of Orissa, two bauxite mines situated at Yelwan Jugai and Mahalmiriya in the state of Maharashtra, and one Soapstone mine situated at Dhelana in the State of Rajasthan. The Company’s subsidiaries include Warana Minerals Private Limited and Shri Warana Minerals (India) Private Limited.

Registered Address

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Tel: 022-66582500
Fax: 022-66582511
Email: info@resurgere.in
Website: http://www.resurgere.in

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AC Phoenix – the Phoenix based air conditioning, heating, and electrical contractor- is now offering a sale on Heat Pump Installations, using which consumers can benefit from the Efficient Energy Grants available currently. These grants are in the form of attractive Federal Tax Credits to promote Energy Efficiency in America.

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